Showing posts with label economic crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economic crisis. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 4, 2009

How Immigration Stimulates Economy: Case In Point


This article gives a case where immigrants literally saved a town in Maine - by stimulating their economy. How?

Barely a decade ago, Lewiston, Maine, was dying. The once bustling mill town's population had been shrinking since the 1970s; most jobs had vanished long before, and residents (those who hadn't already fled) called the decaying center of town "the combat zone." That was before a family of Somali refugees discovered Lewiston in 2001 and began spreading the word to immigrant friends and relatives that housing was cheap and it looked like a good place to build new lives and raise children in peace. Since then, the place has been transformed. Per capita income has soared, and crime rates have dropped. In 2004, Inc. magazine named Lewiston one of the best places to do business in America, and in 2007, it was named an "All-America City" by the National Civic League, the first time any town in Maine had received that honor in roughly 40 years. "No one could have dreamed this," says Chip Morrison, the local Chamber of Commerce president. "Not even me, and I'm an optimist."


It's not just that Maine has a low birth rate. Why does it have a low birth rate? Lack of diversity. So it's not just people, but people of diverse backgrounds, that stimulates the economy. Think Obama. Think immigration, too.

Commerce isn't all the Somalis are reshaping. Maine has America's highest median age and the lowest percentage of residents under 18. Throughout the 1990s, the state's population of 20- to 30-year-olds fell an average of 3,000 a year. Demographers predict that by 2030, the state will have only two workers for each retiree. "In many small Maine towns they're looking at having to close schools for lack of schoolchildren," says State Economist Catherine Reilly. "It will snowball. Right now we're seeing the difficulty of keeping some schools open; in 10 or 15 years that's going to be the difficulty of businesses finding workers." The same ominous trend is seen in other states with similarly homogenous demographics and low numbers of foreign-born residents—states like Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia. Reilly adds: "If you told a demographer just our racial composition, they would be able to guess that we're an old state with a low birthrate."


Want to do something really patriotic, good for America? Encourage immigration.

Take that, Lou Dobbs!

Saturday, November 29, 2008

When Is Money Not Money? When It Is a Ponzi Scheme


So you think you understand finance? Do you think anybody understands finance? Does the Secretary of the Treasury understand finance? Well...according to this website:

Our money system is not what we have been led to believe. The creation of money has been "privatized," or taken over by a private money cartel. Except for coins, all of our money is now created as loans advanced by private banking institutions — including the private Federal Reserve. Banks create the principal but not the interest to service their loans. To find the interest, new loans must continually be taken out, expanding the money supply, inflating prices — and robbing you of the value of your money.


Could this be what's behind the whole economic collapse we're now trying to dig ourselves out of by selling bad debts to China? And would that then rob the Chinese of the value of their money?

Not only is virtually the entire money supply created privately by banks, but a mere handful of very big banks is responsible for a massive investment scheme known as "derivatives," which now tallies in at hundreds of trillions of dollars. The banking system has been contrived so that these big banks always get bailed out by the taxpayers from their risky ventures, but the scheme has reached its mathematical limits. There isn't enough money in the entire global economy to bail out the banks from a massive derivatives default today. When the investors realize that the "insurance" against catastrophe that they have purchased in the form of derivatives is worthless, they are liable to jump ship and bring the whole shaky edifice crashing down.


But Fareed Zakaria says China CAN bail out this system. If not, what exactly does "the whole shaky edifice crashing down" look like?

This article suggests that what has happened is nothing less than "The Collapse of a 300 Year Ponzi Scheme".

All the king’s men cannot put the private banking system together again, for the simple reason that it is a Ponzi scheme that has reached its mathematical limits. A Ponzi scheme is a form of pyramid scheme in which new investors must continually be sucked in at the bottom to support the investors at the top. In this case, new borrowers must continually be sucked in to support the creditors at the top. The Wall Street Ponzi scheme is built on "fractional reserve" lending, which allows banks to create "credit" (or "debt") with accounting entries. Banks are now allowed to lend from 10 to 30 times their "reserves," essentially counterfeiting the money they lend. Over 97 percent of the U.S. money supply (M3) has been created by banks in this way. The problem is that banks create only the principal and not the interest necessary to pay back their loans. Since bank lending is essentially the only source of new money in the system, someone somewhere must continually be taking out new loans just to create enough "money" (or "credit") to service the old loans composing the money supply. This spiraling interest problem and the need to find new debtors has gone on for over 300 years -- ever since the founding of the Bank of England in 1694 – until the whole world has now become mired in debt to the bankers’ private money monopoly.


And what happens when this long-standing house of cards falls? And what will finally call their bluff? Apparently, their bluff will be called by none other than the earth itself.

As British financial analyst Chris Cook observes:

"Exponential economic growth required by the mathematics of compound interest on a money supply based on money as debt must always run up eventually against the finite nature of Earth’s resources."


So what is the solution - if any?

The parasite has finally run out of its food source. But the crisis is not in the economy itself, which is fundamentally sound – or would be with a proper credit system to oil the wheels of production. The crisis is in the banking system, which can no longer cover up the shell game it has played for three centuries with other people’s money. Fortunately, we don’t need the credit of private banks. A sovereign government can create its own.


And how can we "grow our own" banking system without becoming essentially government-run, which sounds like - thunderstorm sound effects with Halloween music, please - "socialist"?

Ask Ron Paul, maybe? Or is the Government By the People not such a horrible thing after all? At least, not as horrible as a Ponzi-Scheming Banking Cartel Not By the People.

Monday, September 22, 2008

Greenspan-Gramm's $45 trillion Fantasy Scam Becomes Self-Aware


Devilstower's great dkos diary tells the history, and intentions, behind the Wall Street/Financial debacle that has Bushco wants YOU to BAIL OUT NOW for 700 Billion Dollars, putting America in 11.7 Trillion Dollars Debt.

It's best to read the article, but just to get a sense of what's at the heartless heart of it, meet Phil Gramm and "Maestro" Alan Greenspan's financial cyborg: the name's credit default swaps.

As if bent on terminating America and its prosperity and riches altogether, Republican anti-regulationists decided to make greed the ultimate moral determinator: Greed = The American Dream. It is "Our Dream" to "Get Rich, or Die Tryin'", or better yet, let someone else die while the elite don't die, and get rich with a minimum of work (aka, "tryin'"). And John McCain's economic idol, Phil Gramm, helped author this anarchist, regulation-free debacle.

It all started with GOP icon Reagan and his voodoo economics, where the rich bilking the rest of us was supposed to result in some sort of drip-drip-drip down to... the rest of us. They de-regulated - i.e., put out into the Wild West with no laws - the Savings and Loan industry, which more or less exploded with greed and collapsed.

Then, after that debacle, Gramm & friends - notably, Alan Greenspan, American Financial Idol - worked very hard to build a totally lawless world of ever-expanding Finance, where Monsters eat Dogs, and Dogs eat Pipsqueaks, and Pipsqueaks pay taxes. And Monsters eat each other in Carnival Cannibalia, where no monster is too big to become bigger and, of course, bigger means better, right?

And in the middle of this greed, law-bashing fest was good ol' John McCain, basking in Republican elitism: grab the money, say we're defending America and the Individual. While in fact they are doing the exact opposite.

Gramm-Leach-Bliley reversed those rules, allowing not only more bank mergers, but for banks to become directly involved in the stock market, bonds, and insurance. Remember the bit about how S&Ls failed because they didn't have the regulations that protected banks? After Gramm-Leach-Bliley, banks didn't have that protection either.

Gramm wasn't done. The next year he was back with the Commodity Futures Modernization Act, which was slipped into a "must pass" spending bill on the last day of the 106th Congress. This Act greatly expanded the scope of futures trading, created new vehicles for speculation, and sheltered several investments from regulation.

As with both Gramm-Leach-Bliley and Garn-St. Germain, large parts of this bill were written by industry lobbyists. This famously included the "Enron Loophole" that exempted energy trading from regulation and was written by (big suprise) Enron Lobbyists working with Gramm. Not coincidentally, Senator Gramm, the second largest recipient of campaign contributions from Enron, was also key to legislating the deregulation of California's energy commodity trading.

Thanks to this fortunate trifecta of Gramm-crafted legislation, Enron was able to create "EnronOnline" and trade electricity in California with absolutely no oversight or transparency. They quickly worked out how to game the system. Previously, there had been only one Stage 3 rolling blackout in the history of California. Within months, the system had been manipulated by traders to generate 38 such blackouts and wholesale electrical prices had gone up more than 3000%. Despite production capacity equal to four times the demand during winter, energy traders even engineered a blackout in mid-January.


The Enron debacle, the S & L collapse, and now the meltdown of virtually everything on Wall Street - right after Republicans have changed the system to put retirement money for "ordinary Americans" - i.e., non-elite Americans - in Wall Street, all of this was engineered by Republicans Gramm and his senatorial supporters, including John McCain.

Notice that it's always propaganda selling Americans the false and misleading line: the Government is BAD because it wants to REGULATE us free & individualistic all-American Americans and we want America First!

Is that drivel or insanity? Then why do people buy this crap? Did anybody notice that all the meltdowns and disasters occurred from LACK OF REGULATION. They want to OVERREGULATE and SURVEILL YOU, the American People, while they, in their Big Elitist Superrich Protected Corporations and Agencies, go free unregulated, not subject to laws or scrutiny. They peer into your emails and underwear, while they want to fly "under the radar" while screwing you and this whole country for their own personal profit, power and fantasy ideologies.

Of these, the worst are the Credit Default Swaps.
Among those instruments which the CFMA sheltered from regulatory scrutiny was something called the "credit default swap." A kind of insurance one bank could exchange with another, credit default swaps supposedly made it safe for banks to take on ever riskier forms of debt. The Act didn't invent these swaps, though they were relatively new. Instead, by placing them in a state where they were not only unregulated but almost perfectly opaque, credit default swaps were turned into the perfect vehicle to fuel a Wall Street revolution. No one had any idea what these things were actually worth, they were traded "over the counter" without being administered by any exchange, and even the SEC could monitor their existence only indirectly.

So how did the Credit Default Swaps become self-aware???
A secondary market for trading swaps exploded into existence, and swaps were traded with absolutely no consideration for the nature or quality of the underlying investment. Swaps changed hands a dozen or more times, growing in "value" as they went. Worse still, no one regulated who could buy a swap, so it was (and is) perfectly possible for a company to acquire swaps that theoretically cover billions of dollars in loans, even if that company doesn't have a red cent on hand to cover those swaps should the loans default.

How big did this market become? Here's business correspondent Bob Moon and host Kai Ryssdal on American Public Media's Marketplace from back in the spring.

BOB MOON: OK, I'm about to unload some numbers on you here, so I'll speak slowly so you can follow this.

The value of the entire U.S. Treasuries market: $4.5 trillion.

The value of the entire mortgage market: $7 trillion.

The size of the U.S. stock market: $22 trillion.

OK, you ready?

The size of the credit default swap market last year: $45 trillion.
KAI RYSSDAL: That's a lot of money, Bob.

As in three times the whole US gross domestic product, Bob. And the truth is that Moon probably underestimated. The unregulated and poorly reported credit default swaps may have actually passed $70 trillion last year, or about $5 trillion more than the GDP of the entire world.


Look at what, of all people, Ben Stein said:
The crisis occurred (to greatly oversimplify) because the financial system allowed entities to place bets on whether or not those mortgages would ever be paid. You didn't have to own a mortgage to make the bets. These bets, called Credit Default Swaps, are complex. But in a nutshell, they allow someone to profit immensely - staggeringly - if large numbers of subprime mortgages are not paid off and go into default.

The profit can be wildly out of proportion to the real amount of defaults, because speculators can push down the price of instruments tied to the subprime mortgages far beyond what the real rates of loss have been. As I said, the profits here can be beyond imagining. (In fact, they can be so large that one might well wonder if the whole subprime fiasco was not set up just to allow speculators to profit wildly on its collapse...)

These Credit Default Swaps have been written (as insurance is written) as private contracts. There is nil government regulation of them. Who writes these policies? Banks. Investment banks. Insurance companies. They now owe the buyers of these Credit Default Swaps on junk mortgage debt trillions of dollars. It is this liability that is the bottomless pit of liability for the financial institutions of America.

Did you see that???
This is a mainstream financial analyst, Ben Stein.
So what if the whole subprime fiasco was "set up just to allow speculators to profit wildly on its collapse"?

So the Swaps themselves became real. Somebody has to pay. They got the US government in a back room, and gave them an ultimatum. Pay up, boys, or we take over.
Wonder why the entire government is jittery, paying up $700 Billion and more?
The Credit Default Swaps have become self-aware.
God help us.

Sunday, September 21, 2008

Messagee to Congress: Don't Let Bush Get Away With This!

The headline blares from the New York Times:
Administration Is Seeking $700 Billion for Wall Street

What was that again?
Yes, the worst Administration in US history is now asking for 700 BILLION DOLLARS TO BAIL OUT WALL STREET1

The proposal, not quite three pages long, was stunning for its stark simplicity. It would raise the national debt ceiling to $11.3 trillion. And it would place no restrictions on the administration other than requiring semiannual reports to Congress, granting the Treasury secretary unprecedented power to buy and resell mortgage debt.


And by way of excuse, Bush says
“I will tell our citizens and continue to remind them that the risk of doing nothing far outweighs the risk of the package, and that, over time, we’re going to get a lot of the money back.”


Yeah, right. I'm sure. And this means we can watch the dollar come tumbling down, not to mention the potential for admission of wrongdoing by greedy speculators, let alone the neocons for pushing rampant speculation as the ultimate moral high ground. Didn't we hear that government was the Great Satan?

So how come we now have to pray to the Great Satan to bail out those Wall Street angels who were there saving us from government and its evil democratic regulations?

Democratic leaders have pledged to approve a bill but say it must also include tangible help for ordinary Americans in the form of an economic stimulus package.


Yes, let's give the taxpayers a rebate too. The winner in all this? The people who profit from materials provided to the US mint? Money engravers? Doesn't this whole thing smack of counterfeiting somehow?

Did somebody say it's because of deregulation? Or maybe because of the trillions going to the War Without End Amen? Whatever it is, it's courtesy of the Grand Ole Party, inherited by the forked-tongue-speaking John McCain.

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Best Wrapup of Financial Meltdown Goes to...

Best brief on the financial meltdown of last week by bonddad at dkos, puts it all out in an orderly, easily understood way,

Last week was historic. It is a week that financial and economic people will study for generations. It also marked the end of certain elements of the Republican Party's ideology. Below are statements the Republican party can no longer claim as part of their core ideology.

We are the party of small government
Actually, this week simply added to the the end of this claim. Under Bush II, discretionary spending has increased from $640 billion to $1.040 trillion dollars. Also remember that Bush had a Republican controlled congress for 6 of those years. However, Paulson will send a package to Congress which totals $800 billion. The Treasury will create a new agency to buy bad debt (which the WSJ's Marketbeat blog has called the Treasury Garbage Machine). In short, when the Republicans control all branches of government they spend like drunken sailors.


They are also not the party of fiscal responsibility,
when the going gets tough, the Republicans become socialists:

or the party of free markets or personal responsibility either.
Obama, are you listening?
Read the rest, it's well worth it.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Schumer's Economic "Plan": Dumb, Dumber, Dumbest?

This newly-discovered "bonddad blog" says Schumer's plan to rescue us from the brink of economic meltdown - oh, I thought we already melted down! - is "the dumbest idea yet".

The blog quotes Bloomberg on the plan, under consideration by the Fed and Treasury both:

Schumer advocated a Great Depression-era Reconstruction Finance Corp. model, different from the Resolution Trust Corp.- type plan others have floated. Another RTC, which was a 1990s agency that sold devalued assets in the Savings and Loan Crisis, would ``simply transfer excessive risk to the U.S. government without addressing the plight of homeowners,'' he said.


Bonddad's take?

Why is this a dumb idea? Let me count the ways.

1.) Where is the money for this going to come from? I've detailed the proposed spending plans we've seen so far. They total $900 billion. Now we're going to pump more money into the system from some as yet unknown source.

2.) Just what will the government do with these interests? They're going to wind up the majority shareholder in some of these institutions -- and a minor big holder in others. Who will decide the government's policy?

3.) What is the criteria for investing in a company? If ever there was going to be a highly politicized process this is it. I can see it now ... "Senator from big important district gets huge cash infusion not because it's a good investment but because the Senator is in a close reelection bid and needs votes.

4.) Will the government ever get out of these companies? Will there be a time limit?

5.) Will there be a time limit for this entity's duration? Will it go on forever?

6.) Will the government become intimately involved with the company's internal deliberations and policy? Will Congressmen sit on various boards?

I could go on, but you get the idea. This is a disaster waiting to happen.


Will Obama endorese this idea, as he has many others? Hopefully not, but... will somebody pass him this message?

Monday, September 15, 2008

GOP Legacy: Financial Meltdown, Not Trickle Down

Years ago I wandered into a Georgia grocery store run by two twin men in their 70's with a fondness for milk - and wisdom. Bush I was president then, and we got to talking politics. He told me that throughout his life, he noticed a clear repeated pattern: whenever the Republicans were in power, they ruined the economy and started wars. Any wars, even little wars (like Reagan's invasion of Grenada), but they had to start wars. He said that's basically what the Republicans were all about.

Now we have the Republican agenda taken to its logical extreme: war without end Amen (the GWOT with its "fronts" in Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, and elsewhere), and Total Economic Meltdown.

Not only have some of the biggest banks gone bad, oil prices become an issue, and the housing market gone bad, but the stock market made its worst decline in years, and most analysts are saying this is the worst thing to happen since the Great Depression.

Not just "internet rumors", no...everybody who knows. Take Bloomberg, for example:



In the biggest reshaping of the financial industry since the Great Depression, two of Wall Street's most storied firms, Merrill Lynch & Co. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., headed toward extinction.


But to most people, what is a "reshaping of the financial industry"? What does it mean that



``The tectonic plates beneath the world financial system are shifting, and there is going to be a new financial world order that will be born of this,'' said Peter Kenny, managing director at Knight Capital Group Inc., the Jersey City, New Jersey-based brokerage that handles about $1 trillion worth of stock transactions a quarter. ``It's an ugly and painful process.''



?????

What is this "new financial world order"? Ugly and painful to whom?

Lehman, which employed 25,935 people at the end of August in 61 offices around the world, had a balance sheet totaling $786 billion as recently as February.

What will happen to those 25,935 people? And $786 billion can't just evaporate. Can it?

But where does the pain spread beyond Wall Street hotshots? Main street and the middle class are now in this boat since the Republicans' touted mixing of speculative stock market investments with retirement funds, pictured as a "free-market" bonanza a la Reaganomics gone futuristic, made 401K's a form of universal retirement security. It was the GOP dream of replacing the government with big corporations and Big Business. And it is a total disaster. Witness, oh world, the debacle.

The GOP attacks the US economy on multiple fronts: attempting to gut their sole source of adequate revenue, taxes, from their largest source, the rich and powerful including corporations; spending uncounted - and I mean black budgeted - treasure on wars and war equipment to the point of bankrupting the government; and rampant deregulation, trusting businesses to regulate themselves, pushing it with the glorification of greed and the denigration of compassion.

In short, the GOP
- Guts revenue from the wealthy, called "cutting taxes" (but only for the rich)
- Spends heavily on wars without accountability
- Deregulates all sectors of business and industry, leading to abuse
- Privatizes what should be accountable public services

Note the features of these policies:
- Lack of accountability, especially for the rich/powerful
- Faith-based "belief" in the moral authority of greed and self-serving
- War on compassion as somehow morally objectionable, a "free lunch"

The net result of these policies for the economy?
- Unregulated businesses can't make the hard realistic choices
- The big swallow the small - even in the bailout and aftermath of the debacle
- Smaller investors, small business owners, employees are crushed
- There's a culture of continual increase without balance or realism
- Without balance, there's collapse

The results are in:
The industry convulsions that started last year have already eliminated Bear Stearns Cos., forced into a cut-price sale to JPMorgan Chase & Co. with government support in March. A week ago, the U.S. Treasury placed mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac into conservatorship, guaranteeing their widely held debt securities while all but erasing their equity value.

American International Group Inc., once the world's largest insurer, is struggling to raise cash to avoid a credit-rating downgrade that could cripple its business. AIG shares fell as much as 52 percent in New York Stock Exchange composite trading today and were down $5.49, or 45 percent, to $6.65 at 10:50 a.m.

The five New York-based securities firms that dominated Wall Street have been reduced to two: Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley. While both firms are scheduled to report a drop in third-quarter earnings this year, their business has remained profitable throughout 2008 -- unlike Lehman and Merrill. As concerns swirled about their futures, Goldman's stock dropped as much as 7.9 percent and Morgan Stanley's fell as much as 13 percent in New York Stock Exchange composite trading today.


That's the problem with the "free market", and even more so with greed. Values can't just keep rising indefinitely. If this is the ABC of logic, why didn't anyone act on it? Because this is GOP-driven faith-based investing. Housing will always go up, they say. Based on what? That real estate is Jesus. It will wash away our sins.

``I've been on Wall Street for many years, and I've never seen a weekend like this one,'' said Michael Holland, 64, chairman and founder of New York-based Holland & Co. ``We are unwinding what has been years of silliness in the financial markets, and the silliness is being vaporized as we speak, unfortunately with the stock price of a number of companies involved in it.''


But is it just "silliness" being vaporized, or billions of dollars? And whose money is this? Whose property? Am I living in one piece of this debacle? Probably, yes.

In fact, this AP report indicates that the repercussions are much greater than anyone can really grasp:

Banks are not the only ones struggling in the growing financial crisis. The fund established to insure their deposits is also feeling the pinch, and the taxpayer may be the lender of last resort.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., whose insurance fund has slipped below the minimum target level set by Congress, could be forced to tap tax dollars through a Treasury Department loan if Washington Mutual Inc., the nation's largest thrift, or another struggling rival fails, economists and industry analysts said Tuesday.

Treasury has already come to the rescue of several corporate victims of the housing and credit crunches. The government took over mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and helped finance the sale of investment bank Bear Stearns to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.

Eleven federally insured banks and thrifts have failed this year, including Pasadena, Calif.-based IndyMac Bank, by far the largest shut down by regulators.

Additional failures of large banks or savings and loans companies seem likely, and that could overwhelm the FDIC's insurance fund, said Brian Bethune, U.S. economist at consulting firm Global Insight.

"We've got a ... retail bank run forming in this country," said Christopher Whalen, senior vice president and managing director of Institutional Risk Analytics.


Now hold on a second. What does that mean? It means the banks are making a run on the federal government and on the FDIC itself. Yes, it's not people making a run on banks. It's the banks making a run on their sole guarantor, the FDIC. What would America be without the FDIC?

A Washington Mutual failure would dwarf the largest bank collapse in U.S. history — Continental Illinois National Bank in 1984, with $33.6 billion in assets.

By comparison, WaMu and its subsidiaries had assets of $309.73 billion as of June 30 and IndyMac had $32 billion when it shut down.

And where does WaMu go when their assets are deemed "junk"? The Fed.
Arthur Murton, director of the FDIC's insurance and research division, said that when large institutions have failed in recent years, the hit to the fund has been about 5 to 10 percent of the company's assets.

Or, failing that, Daddy Warbucks... I mean, the Department of Treasury.
If the FDIC doesn't have enough cash to cover the initial costs of a bank or thrift failure, one option would be short-term loans from the Treasury. That last happened in 1991-92, during the last part of the savings and loan crisis, when the FDIC borrowed $15.1 billion from the Treasury and repaid it with interest about a year later.


But nobody asks, what if Daddy Warbucks is actually Daddy WarSpender? What if the Treasury Department can't take all the pressure?

Think about it for a second. Greed. Deregulation. The rich get richer. The poor get poorer. Then the "Supply Side" itself starts to collapse. Who's going to shore them up? The People?? They're the first to go. We always say, "Don't worry. The FDIC guarantees all." It's faith-based Republican economics. The FDIC is now Jesus. The FDIC will save us. But what if the FDIC itself can't save us?

Then we turn, at long last, to the Grandaddy of them all, the GOP's Great Satan: The Federal Government. But the businesses whose taxes were gutted to make way for their greed and profit have no more profits. Without profits, their tax revenues will be even less. And without revenues, the Federal Government will go bankrupt. And if the Federal Government goes bankrupt, we face the following:

We lose the war in Iraq and head home, 'cause we can't afford to be there.
We lose the war in Afghanistan, 'cause we can't afford to be there either.
We lose the war on terror, because we haven't yet figured out what the hell it is, let alone afford it.
We lose our status in the world, because we will have major problems with all the countries financially entangled with our affairs.

Oh, and on the home front? Our "homeland" will have a lot more crime, thanks to poverty, a lot less justice, thanks to "Homeland Security", and a lot more homelessness, thanks to ... "trickle down" housing crisis.

All those things hyped by the GOP will be lost. Because the Great Satan is not government corruption, but corruption itself is the Great Satan, and no corporation or powerful entity or nation, for that matter, is immune. Corruption starts with immunity to compassion. It holds nothing sacred but self-interest. And self-interest, as we are beginning, hopefully, to see, is blind, and ultimately self-defeating.

Or was it only the GOP? The Clinton years saw a lot of the same policies and deregulation. Some say,
This is not about Republican or Democratic policies, but systemic bipartisan deregulation. Only a quick bout of sweeping and decisive regulation can fix what's broken.


The New Deal's Glass-Steagall Act essentially put federal regulation in control of greed, by "saying" to the banking industry:
"If you want to raise capital through speculative investors at home or overseas -- fine. But as an investment bank, you don't get our backing and you don't get to mix it up with citizens' lives or use their capital to fund your trading activities."


McCain is still pandering to the disastrous notion of tax cuts being a panacea for all financial ills. It never worked before, and it will only make things worse. At least Barack Obama is using his mind. And note that the New Deal was a Democratic idea. It basically saved America from the brink. Now we are again on the brink. Why doesn't anybody feel it? Or maybe they will...

And if they don't, and put the GOP back at the helm, it will give a chance for the rest of the world to "inherit the earth." The ultimate GOP legacy seems to be the destruction of all their stated goals.

Sunday, September 7, 2008

Buyers Beware: Taxpayer-Funded US Govt Now Owns Fannie & Freddie

Think about it, folks. We just re-hired, just 4 years ago, a couple of guys to run the "World Superpower" we call home (but they call "Homeland", which is totally different, as we've found out) after they effectively gutted the economy, started War Without End Amen based on patent lies - covering up by betraying the cover of one of their own government's CIA operatives - and institutionalized torture, the abuse of power and human rights, and bled the country's treasury by supersizing the Pentagon while simultaneously outsourcing half of its business to private industry and starting to outsource basic services the same way. All this while these 2 hacks profited big on the misery of the general population in every way imaginable. Oh, I mean them and their cronies.

Now, after allowing some of those cronies to get rich quick by bloating up on houses as if the housing market was based on Perpetual Motion (and in case that was wrong, they stocked up the Plan B Solution Warehouse with snake oil), we are being told - I repeat, just being told (as in "read only memory" - you can only receive, not input) that your government has just decided to suddenly "buy", and in effect, "be", Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, both of whom have become wildly bankrupt and in hopeless debt.

Where is Lyndon Larouche, Jr., now that we need him?

Right on cue, out of the mouths of ... conspiracy theorists.. sometimes come words to think about:

The government has already spent trillions of dollars in the attempt to save the banks, in schemes ranging from the economic stimulus program to the ongoing and accelerating loan programs to the banks from the Fed. None of this has worked, but rather than realize the folly of their ways, the idiots in Washington and Wall Street are cranking the spigots wide open.

Some estimate that the bailout will cost $20-$30 billion, but these estimates are meaningless, since the government is effectively committing itself to an unlimited bailout. Essentially, the government is bailing out the debt by doubling it, creating a even bigger pile of debt that will have to be bailed out, doubling again in a geometric progression. Since there isn't enough money in the world to make this scheme work, it cannot succeed, and the attempt to do it will trigger a hyperinflationary explosion reminiscent of Weimar Germany, such that the very value of the dollar itself will vaporize.


His solution, however, was unclearly described as "the American system" and I couldn't in my economic ignorance figure out how he determined that "essentially, the government is bailing out the debt by doubling it". However, there's not doubt that something terrible has just happened and nobody really quite grasps what will come of it.

One opinion:

There are voices of reason out there in the what would seem to be a forest of insanity. Jim Rogers argues that we don’t need to bail out Fannie Mae Freddie Mac. I agree with Jim Rogers on this. Let the courts handle it and let the taxpayers move on. This isn’t the end of the world, and if we allow these people to get away with it by bailing them out then we we have learned nothing. It is about time we face the truth and move on, not throw good money after bad.


Again, how would "the courts handle it"?? How does he know for sure that "this isn't the end of the world"? Or at least, the world as we know it?

Besides, the issue may be worse than we think. How come the actual, not simply the promissory, bailout occurred immediately after discovering that the books were cooked?

This is no joke: the NYT headline reads "Mortgage Giant Overstated the Size of Its Capital Base" ...

The government’s planned takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, expected to be announced as early as this weekend, came together hurriedly after advisers poring over the companies’ books for the Treasury Department concluded that Freddie’s accounting methods had overstated its capital cushion, according to regulatory officials briefed on the matter.


This is journalistic, safe prose for "cooking the books", fudging the finances, lying, playing with the accounting to look better than reality.

The details of the deal have not fully emerged, but it appears that investors who own the companies’ common stock will be virtually wiped out; preferred shareholders, who have priority over other shareholders, may also wind up with little. Holders of debt, including many foreign central banks, are expected to receive government backing. Top executives at both companies will be pushed out, according to those briefed on the plan.


Taxpayer alert: You're paying to save "many foreign central banks". Does this mean we were holding the purse-strings for unknown Other Countries in our little home-owning dream? The network of the global economy gets weirder by the moment. Now we are the financiers for who knows who? We now are paying to "back" those "many foreign central banks" and we don't even yet know who they are.

While it is not yet possible to calculate the cost of the government’s intervention, it could rise into tens of billions of dollars and will probably be among the most expensive rescues ever financed by taxpayers. The takeover comes on the heels of a rescue of the investment bank Bear Stearns, which was sold to JPMorgan in a deal backed by taxpayer dollars. Already, the housing crisis has cost investors hundreds of billions of dollars.


Will somebody tell us who is being saved and at the expense of whom? Why don't we just send all those foreign banks to court, as suggested above? Well, I don't know what court... maybe ... a military tribunal? After all, aren't we all interrelated? Well, maybe not that interrelated, not just yet...

But would you have thought buying out a companies that are essentially dishonest to be a good idea for the government?

Accusations of improper accounting are not new for either company. Earlier this decade, both companies paid large fines and ousted their top executives after accounting scandals.


One of the odd accounting blips was using "deferred tax assets" as credits, a sort of theoretical asset based on past "successes", to offset present and future losses.

One analyst estimates the companies, in the future, would have to collect roughly double the profits of the past five years for the credits to become usable. Most financial institutions are not allowed to count such credits as assets in the manner used by Fannie and Freddie.


Maybe that's where Mr. Larouche got his "double the debt" thing. And it certainly doesn't seem a good idea for such a gigantic pair of lenders to be allowed to do voodoo accounting while other businesses have to be held accountable for actual profit and loss, the old-fashioned, non-theoretical way.

Whatever the facts are, one fact remains irrefutable. The housing market is plummeting, the greedy have triumphed, the honest are getting screwed, and the taxpayer is paying. So much for Repuglicanomics. So much for taxpayers' rights from the GOP. They've gutted the economy, cleaned up profits at the people's expense, and are draining us in a war based on lies, draped in flags and flag pins, and are on the verge of turning what's left of America into a third world dumpsite.

For all his faults (he supports the bailout), Barack Obama would at least give us a chance to be free of Republican authoritarianism and supply-side unregulated economic catastrophe. To vote for anyone else would give it back to the GOP to finish the job.